And yet novices infected with this basic doubt of the possibility of grading fields of horses will turn to the opin ions of public selectors for guidance and attempt to evolve workable systems of play based on their choices. Of course all this is the height of folly. If a man can’t get winners on his own because horses run so unpredictably that no one can get winners with any regularity, why assume that the so-called experts are any better? Yet thousands of horse players in the United States daily are playing and checking on systems based on the opinions of public selectors. None of these methods ever does work, except for brief and wholly accidental periods, and none of them ever can work consistently. Each single expert or the con sensus of opinion of any group of experts will put one on too many losers out of each hundred bets to permit any net profit from successful transactions. And each one of them, at least once during a year, will run into a streak of losers so prolonged as to prohibit the successful em ployment of any scheme of progressive betting involving an increased wager after a loss.
01-31-2008
